Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1243.606724 1407.680110 1588.195952 1802.019923 2049.001638 2326.046152 2661.356071
2025-11-23 993.889825 1214.063401 1478.095551 1820.131559 2254.494484 2791.678360 3512.467777
2025-11-30 862.974165 1108.974589 1421.546187 1852.018249 2435.978294 3209.922673 4328.945276
2025-12-07 742.787267 992.614841 1324.634747 1804.450308 2490.503208 3452.071022 4930.368958
2025-12-14 650.679816 898.440382 1240.382159 1755.168036 2525.225204 3658.267453 5496.897243
2025-12-21 574.621661 816.056187 1160.313834 1697.400373 2533.384760 3817.714717 6005.658703
2025-12-28 542.842775 792.669234 1160.619174 1755.539505 2719.474113 4267.066207 7039.115155
2026-01-04 507.882864 760.185696 1142.682025 1781.315688 2854.462124 4648.311870 8014.249580
2026-01-11 475.249913 727.576145 1120.373508 1795.942409 2970.259876 5008.905179 9006.363245
2026-01-18 446.000171 697.223097 1098.051657 1806.834144 3078.860104 5367.969359 10050.345726
2026-01-25 426.757656 681.009493 1096.653098 1852.185907 3252.136710 5864.489019 11443.164799
2026-02-01 405.833053 659.973337 1084.846602 1877.162341 3389.718185 6310.133909 12807.038722
2026-02-08 384.249698 636.678386 1068.186874 1893.707306 3517.650060 6763.414433 14292.681744
2026-02-15 364.942415 615.772745 1053.941539 1913.453458 3655.019803 7257.469466 15972.329368
2026-02-22 349.506667 600.259199 1047.667597 1947.168871 3823.880501 7841.025712 17978.352740
2026-03-01 324.077162 564.613539 1001.231266 1896.832534 3810.796748 8025.113883 19040.942297
2026-03-08 300.862185 531.250126 956.251115 1844.690948 3787.066743 8180.837270 20061.120741
2026-03-15 278.668555 498.178268 909.186954 1783.585613 3736.207161 8266.079404 20911.742087
2026-03-22 272.625517 495.228548 920.158237 1845.083931 3968.687102 9061.959097 23897.095097
2026-03-29 263.120658 484.842841 915.483813 1872.354291 4125.276175 9695.329186 26566.144932
2026-04-05 253.040948 472.565859 905.942663 1887.830194 4255.592120 10282.104472 29237.290157
2026-04-12 243.270214 460.189092 895.167484 1899.354879 4377.622223 10866.515825 32047.142079
2026-04-19 237.541815 455.558016 900.115822 1947.347708 4597.375964 11753.067182 36080.835908